Why Is This US Shutdown Different (as well as Harder to Resolve)?
Government closures have become a recurring feature in American political life – but the current situation appears especially difficult to resolve because of shifting political forces along with bad blood among the two parties.
Some government services face a temporary halt, and about 750,000 employees likely to be placed on unpaid leave as Republicans and Democrats remain unable to reach consensus on a spending bill.
Legislative attempts to resolve the impasse have repeatedly failed, with little visibility on an off-ramp this time as both parties – as well as the nation's leader – can see some merit in maintaining their positions.
These are the four ways that make this shutdown distinct currently.
1. For Democrats, the focus is on Trump – not just healthcare
The Democratic base have insisted for months that their party adopt stronger opposition against the current presidency. Well now the party leadership have an opportunity to show their responsiveness.
Earlier this year, Senate leader was fiercely criticised for helping pass a Republican spending bill and averting a shutdown early this year. This time he's holding firm.
This presents an opportunity for Democrats to show they can take back some control from an administration that has moved aggressively on its agenda.
Refusing to back the Republican spending plan comes with political risk as citizens generally will grow frustrated with prolonged negotiations and impacts accumulate.
The Democrats are using the budget standoff to highlight concerns about ending healthcare financial support together with Republican-approved government healthcare cuts affecting low-income populations, which are both unpopular.
Additionally, they're attempting to curtail executive utilization of presidential authority to cancel or delay funding approved by Congress, which he has done in international assistance and various federal programs.
2. For Republicans, it's an opportunity
The administration leader along with a senior aide have openly indicated of the fact that they smell a chance to make more of the cutbacks in government employment implemented during in the Republican's second presidency to date.
The President himself stated recently that the government closure had afforded him a "unique chance", adding he intended to cut "Democrat agencies".
The White House stated they would face the "unenviable task" of mass lay-offs to keep essential government services operating should the impasse persist. The Press Secretary described this as "budgetary responsibility".
The scope of the potential lay-offs remains unclear, but the White House have been consulting with the Office of Management and Budget, or OMB, which is headed by the administration's budget director.
The administration's financial chief has already announced the halting of government financial support for regions governed by of the country, including New York City and Illinois' largest city.
Third, Trust Is Lacking between both parties
While previous shutdowns have been characterised by late-night talks between the two parties aimed at restoring government services running again, there appears to be little of the same spirit for compromise presently.
Conversely, there is rancour. The bad blood continued over the weekend, as both sides exchanging accusations regarding the deadlock's origin.
House Speaker a Republican, accused Democrats of not being serious toward resolution, and maintaining positions over a deal "for electoral protection".
Meanwhile, the Senate leader levelled the same accusation at the other side, saying that a Republican promise to discuss healthcare subsidies after operations resume cannot be trusted.
The administration leader personally has inflamed the situation through sharing a computer-created controversial depiction featuring the opposition leader and the top Democrat in the House, in which the legislator is depicted with a large Mexican-style sombrero and facial hair.
The affected legislator with party colleagues denounced this as discriminatory, a characterization rejected by the Vice-President.
Fourth, The American Economy faces vulnerability
Experts project approximately two-fifths of government employees – over 800,000 workers – to face furlough as a result of the shutdown.
This will reduce consumer expenditure – with broader economic consequences, including halted environmental approvals, delayed intellectual property processing, interrupted vendor payments along with various forms of federal operations tied to business cease functioning.
A shutdown also injects fresh instability into an economy currently experiencing disruption by changes ranging from tariffs, earlier cuts to government spending, enforcement actions and technological advancements.
Economic forecasters project that it could shave approximately 0.2% off US economic growth weekly during the closure.
However, economic activity generally rebounds the majority of interrupted operations after a shutdown ends, similar to recovery patterns after major environmental events.
That could be one reason why the stock market have shown limited reaction to the ongoing impasse.
Conversely, experts indicate that if administration officials implement proposed significant workforce reductions, economic harm might become more long-lasting.